Showing posts with label Juniper Networks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Juniper Networks. Show all posts

Trade Setup For 23rd July

Here are my zones for 23rd July:

Resistance

1277.25-1278.50
1285.75-1286.75
1290.50-1291.50
1300.50-1301.50

Support

1270.25-1269.25
1261.75-1263
1256-1255
1246-1245

My Outlook


The buyers came through with the goods late yesterday which is a positive sign. The NDX was in trouble at the open yesterday but all the indexes managed to come through with a good run.

Leading into 1280 on the SP and 11,760 area on the DJIA is some traffic that was caught out on this downward run. It may prove to be a battle to get through but the momentum is up at this stage.

The VIX pulled out a good downward move signaling a possible end to the big selling we have recently been seeing. Will it last longer than a couple of weeks or will it turn back down to continue this downward bias in the market?

Oil is helping bring some optimism back into the market with its decline. As long as that is occurring it is a good sign for companies which means equities get a boost. Gold attempted to make a run for higher prices yesterday but has seen some selling pressure hit.

The USD managed a better day yesterday but is far from out of the woods. Oil's decline will help the USD ease.

My Focus

The late run yesterday has opened up the doors for some continued buying tomorrow. Currently we are trading near the 1275 area. If we see a decline down to the 1270 area I will be looking for some strength to enter the market. If we go beyond there, the 1262 area will need to hold to keep the buyers in control.

I'm not keen on the selling side at this point so I will leave it be for the moment. I believe we will see some selling early on but the support levels are likely to garner some extra buying power. I won't cross it out at this point though, I will be prepared to short at the resistance levels should the market present some extremes up there.

I'm continuing to take a casual approach to my trading, not writing as much in my journal so I can focus on the market. Finding things to keep me occupied whilst we are away from my levels is keeping me from jumping in the market prematurely.

My stops are going to be placed behind strong areas and the initial target in easy to reach places as per normal. Things are going well right now so it's a matter of continuing to do more of the same and not becoming overconfident. I will look at making short trades with the live account but not hold myself restricted to that. I don't want any extra pressure placed on the trading.
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Trading Steup For 22nd July

Here is my journal from the 22nd July:

There is no major news again today so we are left to trade on our own. There are a few different news announcements but none are major. We haven't moved far from the 1252 area so the game plan is still the same as earlier. 1256 may be a resistance point but more in focus is 1262. Beneath 1252 the 1245 area is a spot for a bounce but I think we are more likely to sell down. Again I'm going to be taking things pretty casually.

9:47 Who knows? We opened at the 1251 area and have been hanging around 1250 since the open. Volume isn't telling me much at this stage. The Tick was pretty negative at the open but has managed to build up to where we are now. It is attempting to push the boundaries into positive territory. The NQ opened with a fair whack down so something technology related must be pulling at the market. For now, sit back and enjoy the ride.

10:30
The market has been moving higher from the lower open. We reached as high as the 1260 area before making a volume and Tick extreme. It would have been nice for it to occur closer to my resistance area at 1262 but not to worry. There are plenty more opportunities to present themselves in the market. I'll keep my eye on the 1252 area should we show some strength down there. I would keep a tight leash on any long trades at this point as I think we are currently continuing yesterdays tone down. Volume at this point has been increasing on the upside swings though and declining on the downside swings which is interesting.

10:51 I'm in short at 1257.25 with my stop at 1259. Initial profit target is at 1255.25. We need to drop beneath the 1257 area pretty quickly otherwise it could bounce higher. Reasons for entry was the 1-2-3 top just beneath the 1262 resistance area. I suspect I had my resistance area a bit off. Also have the extremes on the tick and volume at the top. Initial target is taken so the second lot stop has been moved to 1258. 1254 could be an area of concern and then 1252 is the decider if we reach that.

11:02 The second position I was trailing was stopped out at 1258 for a 0.75 loss. Gain of 1.25 points on the trade. We couldn't sustain the selling from the stocks as seen by the Tick.

11:10 In short again at 1260.75. This time it's for actually reaching the resistance area on a couple of tick extremes and big volume. Stop is at 1262.75 which is probably not necessary but it gives it some time to move. I could be trying too hard to go against the trend with my short trades but its in the plan. I am in earlier on this than I have previously been entering shorts. I need to have more patience with this and expect it to move against me a bit prior to possibly moving lower.

11:19 I took my position off for a 0.25 gain as we weren't showing follow through selling from the stocks. I believe I was a bit early on the move which is another reminder for my short trading. What the good part of that though was that I recognized I was entering early so I knew what I was getting into and could be prepared mentally for some movement. There may be a second chance to short but for now I'll wait.

11:31 How many times can I short this market? In short again at 1262.50 for the resistance area up here with extremes registering on the Tick but volume not supporting the higher move at this point. Stop is at 1263.75 and initial profit target at 1260.75. Finally starting to see the Tick hit under the zero area.

11:37 Bringing stop down to 1263.25 as we shouldn't reach there if we are going lower.

11:51 We spent some time moving sideways and have continued the move lower right now. I have brought my stop down to 1262.50 so I don't take a loss on this trailed position. 1258.50 is looking like it will be an area of concern for the sellers at this point so I will assess the action if we reach there.

11:57 I took an exit at 1258.75 as we are slowing down there and some stacked orders are in for the buyers. Could be premature but for now I'd rather take the gains and get some sleep. The Tick was showing signs of strength from the stocks. Well it is time for me to go to bed.

I was trying to fight the trend all day which isn't great but the upside is that I managed to extract a few points from the market doing so. The first trade wasn't ideally part of the plan but was a solid pattern. I thought that maybe I missed the right resistance area but later on the market showed me I did have a good level there. A good day.

Daily Wrap Up

Beyond fighting the day's trend I think the day was good. I mainly traded at the resistance zones and the only trade I didn't was due to thinking I may have misplaced my area. It was a trade I would take again though.

I kept my stops pretty tight, the second trade was a good example of that as I let the market have some space but recognized we were having trouble moving lower. I noticed the Tick was pretty positive the whole day but didn't have any strong opportunities to go long with the market.

The casual approach worked well again and allows me to give my trades a bit more room. I need to be careful of trading simulation too much though as I am at the stage where it can probably do more harm than good right now. For following my focus I give myself a 'C'.

Trade 1a: 2.0 Win
Trade 1b: 0.75 Loss
Trade 2a: 0.25 Win
Trade 2b: 0.25 Win
Trade 3a: 1.75 Win
Trade 3b: 3.75 Win

Daily Result: 7.25 Gain
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